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Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?

icon for Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?

Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$19,923 Vol.

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$19,923 Vol.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on "No" for Trump dancing at the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25, 2026, as the event unfolded yesterday without any such moment amid high-profile disruption. President Trump attended the gala—his first as sitting president—entering the Washington Hilton ballroom to "Hail to the Chief" and greeting journalists, but a security incident with loud bangs and reports of shots fired led to his swift Secret Service evacuation, halting proceedings before entertainment segments like comedy roasts or after-dinner dancing could proceed. The formal black-tie atmosphere, Trump's past avoidance of WHCA until now, and the chaotic early exit drive overwhelming confidence in resolution to "No." Realistic upsets are negligible post-event, barring improbable emergence of unverified footage, with markets now focused on official video confirmation.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Volume
$19,923
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 10:04 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on "No" for Trump dancing at the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25, 2026, as the event unfolded yesterday without any such moment amid high-profile disruption. President Trump attended the gala—his first as sitting president—entering the Washington Hilton ballroom to "Hail to the Chief" and greeting journalists, but a security incident with loud bangs and reports of shots fired led to his swift Secret Service evacuation, halting proceedings before entertainment segments like comedy roasts or after-dinner dancing could proceed. The formal black-tie atmosphere, Trump's past avoidance of WHCA until now, and the chaotic early exit drive overwhelming confidence in resolution to "No." Realistic upsets are negligible post-event, barring improbable emergence of unverified footage, with markets now focused on official video confirmation.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Volume
$19,923
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 10:04 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 0¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?" telah menghasilkan $19.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?" adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.