US forces enter Iran by..?

March 14

13%

Yes13%No87%

March 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

$12M Vol.

Iran strikes Israel on...?

March 6

Yes1%No99%

March 10

77%

Yes77%No23%

$10M Vol.

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

100%

chance

Yes

$1M Vol.

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

UAE

21%

Yes21%No79%

Saudi Arabia

21%

Yes21%No79%

$6M Vol.

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

100%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

14%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Monthly

Will another country strike Iran by...? card icon

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

37%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

11%

chance

Yes

$1M Vol.

Monthly

Houthi strike on Israel by...?

March 6

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

March 15

15%

Yes15%No85%

$843K Vol.

Which countries will Iran strike in March?

Jordan

69%

Yes69%No31%

Jordan

65%

Yes65%No35%

$2M Vol.

US/Israel strike Yemen by...?

March 14

10%

Yes10%No90%

March 31

58%

Yes58%No42%

$223K Vol.

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?

March 15

16%

Yes16%No84%

March 31

39%

Yes39%No61%

$379K Vol.

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$560K Vol.

Monthly

Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by...?

March 7

Yes1%No99%

March 15

Yes8%No92%

$426K Vol.

What will Iran strike by March 31?

Dimona (Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center)

11%

Yes11%No89%

Ruwais Refinery

71%

Yes71%No29%

$167K Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

24%

chance

Yes

$275K Vol.

Monthly

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Fordow nuclear facility

44%

Yes44%No56%

Isfahan nuclear facility

89%

Yes89%No11%

$258K Vol.

All

Military Strikes

Oil

Iran Regime

Diplomacy & Ceasefire

Regional Spillover

Kurds

U.S. x Iran

Iran Offensive Strikes

Reza Pahlavi

Lebanon

Nuclear

Israel x Iran