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Politica·Elezioni Primarie

CA-22 Primary Winners

Market icon
Politica·Elezioni Primarie

CA-22 Primary Winners

NUOVO
2 giu 2026
Polymarket

$963 Vol.

Polymarket

David Valadao

$334 Vol.

95%

Randy Villegas

$228 Vol.

55%

Jasmeet Bains

$73 Vol.

45%

Chris Mathys

$0 Vol.

10%

Rudy Salas

$327 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates early trader consensus with superior fundraising—over $2.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and name recognition from narrow victories in 2022 and 2024 against Rudy Salas, who has withdrawn. Democrats Jasmeet Bains, a state assemblymember and physician, and Randy Villegas, a political science professor and school board member, compete for the second advancement spot, splitting endorsements and activist support in this Central Valley battleground with heavy Hispanic turnout and agriculture interests. Villegas recently challenged both rivals to a televised debate in mid-March, underscoring intra-party tensions, while no new polls have emerged in the past 30 days amid stable race ratings as a toss-up. Early voting begins May 4.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$963
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates early trader consensus with superior fundraising—over $2.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and name recognition from narrow victories in 2022 and 2024 against Rudy Salas, who has withdrawn. Democrats Jasmeet Bains, a state assemblymember and physician, and Randy Villegas, a political science professor and school board member, compete for the second advancement spot, splitting endorsements and activist support in this Central Valley battleground with heavy Hispanic turnout and agriculture interests. Villegas recently challenged both rivals to a televised debate in mid-March, underscoring intra-party tensions, while no new polls have emerged in the past 30 days amid stable race ratings as a toss-up. Early voting begins May 4.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$963
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"CA-22 Primary Winners" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "David Valadao" a 95%, seguito da "Randy Villegas" a 55%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"CA-22 Primary Winners" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Dec 11, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "CA-22 Primary Winners", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "CA-22 Primary Winners" è "David Valadao" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Randy Villegas" a 55%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "CA-22 Primary Winners" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.