Manuel Flavio Minervini enters the June 7-8 runoff as the narrow trader favorite after securing 44.57% in the first round on May 24-25, ahead of Pietro Mastropasqua at 36.04% and Adamo Logrieco at 19.38%. Minervini’s center-left coalition, backed by the Partito Democratico, Movimento 5 Stelle, and smaller progressive lists, outperformed expectations in a field of three candidates. Mastropasqua’s civic and center-right aligned lists collectively drew more votes than Minervini’s, positioning him to consolidate support from Logrieco’s voters in the head-to-head contest. Recent public debates and final campaign rallies in late May have sharpened contrasts over port development, urban renewal, and mobility, leaving the outcome closely contested in a city where turnout and preference flows between the two finalists will decide the result.