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Politica·Primaria Repubblicana

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primaria Repubblicana

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

NUOVO
Polymarket
NUOVO

Jeff Hurd

$4,841 Vol.

95%

Hope Scheppelman

$3,293 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jeff Hurd holds trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary on June 30, driven by his freshman reelection bid bolstered by President Trump's March 20 re-endorsement after a brief withdrawal over tariff disagreements. Hope Scheppelman, former Colorado GOP vice chair who briefly drew Trump's support, withdrew her challenge days later at his urging, relegating her to 2% odds amid confirmed exit. This week's Colorado GOP state assembly in Pueblo enabled former state Rep. Ron Hanks, an election skeptic, to qualify for the ballot via delegate support, posing a late grassroots threat but failing to erode Hurd's incumbency edge and fundraising lead in the eyes of prediction market traders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,134
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jeff Hurd holds trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary on June 30, driven by his freshman reelection bid bolstered by President Trump's March 20 re-endorsement after a brief withdrawal over tariff disagreements. Hope Scheppelman, former Colorado GOP vice chair who briefly drew Trump's support, withdrew her challenge days later at his urging, relegating her to 2% odds amid confirmed exit. This week's Colorado GOP state assembly in Pueblo enabled former state Rep. Ron Hanks, an election skeptic, to qualify for the ballot via delegate support, posing a late grassroots threat but failing to erode Hurd's incumbency edge and fundraising lead in the eyes of prediction market traders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,134
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jeff Hurd" a 95%, seguito da "Hope Scheppelman" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Feb 25, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "CO-03 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" è "Jeff Hurd" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Hope Scheppelman" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.