The Republican Party holds a 64.5% implied probability in the CO-03 House race due to the district’s R+5 partisan voting index, incumbent Jeff Hurd’s 2024 victory, and his decisive June 30 primary win. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Hurd’s fundraising edge and cash reserves ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Dwayne Romero. A late-July poll sponsored by Romero showed a statistical tie, yet broader analyst assessments and the district’s voting patterns continue to anchor trader expectations. Limited new developments since the primaries have kept probabilities stable, with the outcome hinging on turnout in western and southern Colorado counties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCO-03 House Election Winner
CO-03 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,352 Vol.
65%
Democratic Party
$5,594 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 64.5% implied probability in the CO-03 House race due to the district’s R+5 partisan voting index, incumbent Jeff Hurd’s 2024 victory, and his decisive June 30 primary win. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Hurd’s fundraising edge and cash reserves ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Dwayne Romero. A late-July poll sponsored by Romero showed a statistical tie, yet broader analyst assessments and the district’s voting patterns continue to anchor trader expectations. Limited new developments since the primaries have kept probabilities stable, with the outcome hinging on turnout in western and southern Colorado counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$7,946Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 64.5% implied probability in the CO-03 House race due to the district’s R+5 partisan voting index, incumbent Jeff Hurd’s 2024 victory, and his decisive June 30 primary win. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Hurd’s fundraising edge and cash reserves ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Dwayne Romero. A late-July poll sponsored by Romero showed a statistical tie, yet broader analyst assessments and the district’s voting patterns continue to anchor trader expectations. Limited new developments since the primaries have kept probabilities stable, with the outcome hinging on turnout in western and southern Colorado counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,946Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a 64.5% implied probability in the CO-03 House race due to the district’s R+5 partisan voting index, incumbent Jeff Hurd’s 2024 victory, and his decisive June 30 primary win. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Hurd’s fundraising edge and cash reserves ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Dwayne Romero. A late-July poll sponsored by Romero showed a statistical tie, yet broader analyst assessments and the district’s voting patterns continue to anchor trader expectations. Limited new developments since the primaries have kept probabilities stable, with the outcome hinging on turnout in western and southern Colorado counties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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