Market-implied odds assign the highest probability to a 2.8% Core CPI YoY print for May 2026, with 2.9% a clear second, reflecting trader consensus shaped by the April release that printed at 2.8% versus 2.7% expectations and marked the sharpest increase since late 2025. That outcome, driven by elevated services and shelter costs, has anchored near-term forecasts, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts and consensus estimates cluster around 2.8–2.9%. With the May data due June 10, positioning remains sensitive to any further monthly momentum in core components, though the recent trajectory supports the current distribution of probabilities over more extreme outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCore CPI YoY - Maggio 2026
Core CPI YoY - Maggio 2026
2.8% 51%
2.9% 29%
3.1% 4.3%
≥3.3% 4.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 giu 2026
≤2.4%
1%
2.5%
3%
2.6%
3%
2.7%
3%
2.8%
51%
2.9%
29%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
3%
≥3.3%
4%
2.8% 51%
2.9% 29%
3.1% 4.3%
≥3.3% 4.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 giu 2026
≤2.4%
$485 Vol.
1%
2.5%
$118 Vol.
3%
2.6%
$78 Vol.
3%
2.7%
$179 Vol.
3%
2.8%
$560 Vol.
51%
2.9%
$96 Vol.
29%
3.0%
$196 Vol.
4%
3.1%
$90 Vol.
4%
3.2%
$141 Vol.
3%
≥3.3%
$167 Vol.
4%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Market-implied odds assign the highest probability to a 2.8% Core CPI YoY print for May 2026, with 2.9% a clear second, reflecting trader consensus shaped by the April release that printed at 2.8% versus 2.7% expectations and marked the sharpest increase since late 2025. That outcome, driven by elevated services and shelter costs, has anchored near-term forecasts, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts and consensus estimates cluster around 2.8–2.9%. With the May data due June 10, positioning remains sensitive to any further monthly momentum in core components, though the recent trajectory supports the current distribution of probabilities over more extreme outcomes.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$2,110Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Market-implied odds assign the highest probability to a 2.8% Core CPI YoY print for May 2026, with 2.9% a clear second, reflecting trader consensus shaped by the April release that printed at 2.8% versus 2.7% expectations and marked the sharpest increase since late 2025. That outcome, driven by elevated services and shelter costs, has anchored near-term forecasts, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts and consensus estimates cluster around 2.8–2.9%. With the May data due June 10, positioning remains sensitive to any further monthly momentum in core components, though the recent trajectory supports the current distribution of probabilities over more extreme outcomes.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$2,110Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds assign the highest probability to a 2.8% Core CPI YoY print for May 2026, with 2.9% a clear second, reflecting trader consensus shaped by the April release that printed at 2.8% versus 2.7% expectations and marked the sharpest increase since late 2025. That outcome, driven by elevated services and shelter costs, has anchored near-term forecasts, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts and consensus estimates cluster around 2.8–2.9%. With the May data due June 10, positioning remains sensitive to any further monthly momentum in core components, though the recent trajectory supports the current distribution of probabilities over more extreme outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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