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Politica·Cultura

Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?

Market icon
Politica·Cultura

Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?

mag 1

giu 1

mag 1

giu 1

1240-1279 14.1%

1160-1199 11.6%

1200-1239 11.4%

1120-1159 10.3%

Polymarket

$7,688,431 Vol.

1240-1279 14.1%

1160-1199 11.6%

1200-1239 11.4%

1120-1159 10.3%

Polymarket

$7,688,431 Vol.

540-559

$77,250 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$99,157 Vol.

<1%

580-599

$96,188 Vol.

<1%

600-619

$80,287 Vol.

<1%

620-639

$127,474 Vol.

<1%

640-659

$124,543 Vol.

<1%

660-679

$137,675 Vol.

<1%

680-699

$50,448 Vol.

<1%

700-719

$68,076 Vol.

<1%

720-739

$61,095 Vol.

<1%

740-759

$21,808 Vol.

<1%

760-779

$37,510 Vol.

<1%

780-799

$49,860 Vol.

<1%

800-839

$71,794 Vol.

1%

840-879

$44,817 Vol.

1%

880-919

$151,278 Vol.

<1%

920-959

$52,732 Vol.

2%

960-999

$34,582 Vol.

2%

1000-1039

$39,447 Vol.

5%

1040-1079

$91,763 Vol.

5%

1080-1119

$61,358 Vol.

4%

1120-1159

$112,929 Vol.

10%

1160-1199

$274,611 Vol.

12%

1200-1239

$167,911 Vol.

11%

1240-1279

$87,572 Vol.

14%

1280-1319

$171,583 Vol.

9%

1320-1359

$241,638 Vol.

6%

1360-1399

$214,710 Vol.

4%

1400-1439

$518,783 Vol.

3%

1440-1479

$84,694 Vol.

2%

1480-1519

$72,308 Vol.

1%

1520-1559

$89,505 Vol.

1%

1560-1599

$108,053 Vol.

1%

1600-1679

$103,559 Vol.

1%

1680-1759

$148,085 Vol.

1%

1760-1839

$100,127 Vol.

<1%

1840-1919

$156,714 Vol.

<1%

1920-1999

$31,331 Vol.

<1%

2000+

$29,343 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters around 1160-1279 total X posts for Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1240-1279 bin leading at 14.1% implied probability, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 35-45 posts daily so far—verified through resolved short-term Polymarket trackers like April 11-13 (115-139 posts) and April 13-15 (65-89 posts). This halfway projection leaves room for variance driven by daily spikes in viral engagement on Tesla updates, xAI advancements, and political commentary, creating a tight race among top bins amid no confirmed slowdowns. Key swing factors include potential Tesla earnings announcements later this month, which historically amplify his social media activity, and any unexpected personal or platform shifts before April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,688,431
Data di fine
1 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters around 1160-1279 total X posts for Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1240-1279 bin leading at 14.1% implied probability, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 35-45 posts daily so far—verified through resolved short-term Polymarket trackers like April 11-13 (115-139 posts) and April 13-15 (65-89 posts). This halfway projection leaves room for variance driven by daily spikes in viral engagement on Tesla updates, xAI advancements, and political commentary, creating a tight race among top bins amid no confirmed slowdowns. Key swing factors include potential Tesla earnings announcements later this month, which historically amplify his social media activity, and any unexpected personal or platform shifts before April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,688,431
Data di fine
1 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 66+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "1240-1279" a 14%, seguito da "1160-1199" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 14¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?" ha generato $7.7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 24, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?", esplora i 66+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?" è "1240-1279" a 14%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "1160-1199" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.