Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 4?
8°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$110,188 Vol.
$110,188 Vol.
4 mag 2026
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$110,188 Vol.
$110,188 Vol.
4 mag 2026
1°C or below
$4,838 Vol.
No
2°C
$457 Vol.
No
3°C
$403 Vol.
No
4°C
$782 Vol.
No
5°C
$3,777 Vol.
No
6°C
$52,915 Vol.
No
7°C
$6,684 Vol.
No
8°C
$11,953 Vol.
Yes
9°C
$12,820 Vol.
No
10°C
$9,455 Vol.
No
11°C or higher
$6,105 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$110,188Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$110,188Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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