National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected a daily high in the low 90s°F for Austin on June 2, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for 90°F or higher. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average maxima reach 89–93°F under strengthening high pressure and typical southerly flow. Recent spring rainfall maintained soil moisture that modestly limited extreme heating, yet no cool fronts or tropical intrusions appeared in guidance to suppress readings below the threshold. Official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport confirm the outcome met the 90°F criterion, with resolution hinging on verified station data rather than model projections alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Austin on June 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 2?
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$23,330 Vol.
$23,330 Vol.
2 giu 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
Yes
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$23,330 Vol.
$23,330 Vol.
2 giu 2026
71°F or below
$262 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,992 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,524 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,591 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,078 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,997 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$921 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$549 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,599 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,071 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$4,747 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected a daily high in the low 90s°F for Austin on June 2, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for 90°F or higher. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average maxima reach 89–93°F under strengthening high pressure and typical southerly flow. Recent spring rainfall maintained soil moisture that modestly limited extreme heating, yet no cool fronts or tropical intrusions appeared in guidance to suppress readings below the threshold. Official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport confirm the outcome met the 90°F criterion, with resolution hinging on verified station data rather than model projections alone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 31, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$23,330Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected a daily high in the low 90s°F for Austin on June 2, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for 90°F or higher. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average maxima reach 89–93°F under strengthening high pressure and typical southerly flow. Recent spring rainfall maintained soil moisture that modestly limited extreme heating, yet no cool fronts or tropical intrusions appeared in guidance to suppress readings below the threshold. Official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport confirm the outcome met the 90°F criterion, with resolution hinging on verified station data rather than model projections alone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,330Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected a daily high in the low 90s°F for Austin on June 2, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for 90°F or higher. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average maxima reach 89–93°F under strengthening high pressure and typical southerly flow. Recent spring rainfall maintained soil moisture that modestly limited extreme heating, yet no cool fronts or tropical intrusions appeared in guidance to suppress readings below the threshold. Official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport confirm the outcome met the 90°F criterion, with resolution hinging on verified station data rather than model projections alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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