National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature near 88°F on May 9 under low morning clouds and fog giving way to clearing skies by late morning, enabling stronger solar insolation and rapid diurnal heating from current mid-morning readings around 73°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This aligns with climatological May normals near 84°F and recent drier air masses following prior wetter conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Model ensembles show strong agreement on upper-80s peaks absent persistent overcast; realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover or isolated showers delaying clearance, though low-probability per current guidance, with hourly updates expected through afternoon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Austin on May 9?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$86,417 Vol.
$86,417 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$86,417 Vol.
$86,417 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature near 88°F on May 9 under low morning clouds and fog giving way to clearing skies by late morning, enabling stronger solar insolation and rapid diurnal heating from current mid-morning readings around 73°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This aligns with climatological May normals near 84°F and recent drier air masses following prior wetter conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Model ensembles show strong agreement on upper-80s peaks absent persistent overcast; realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover or isolated showers delaying clearance, though low-probability per current guidance, with hourly updates expected through afternoon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti