Current meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Beijing on June 2 under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with early-June climatology where average highs reach approximately 30–31°C. This consensus supports the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for a peak of 33°C or below. Model runs show minimal risk of intensification due to the season’s transitional pattern before peak summer heating. Revised observational data or unexpected warm advection could shift outcomes toward 34°C, though such developments remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 2?
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$110,051 Vol.
$110,051 Vol.
2 giu 2026
33°C or below
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$110,051 Vol.
$110,051 Vol.
2 giu 2026
33°C or below
$42,974 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$13,683 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,880 Vol.
No
36°C
$12,887 Vol.
No
37°C
$8,867 Vol.
No
38°C
$8,656 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,543 Vol.
No
40°C
$3,594 Vol.
No
41°C
$4,484 Vol.
No
42°C
$637 Vol.
No
43°C or higher
$846 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Beijing on June 2 under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with early-June climatology where average highs reach approximately 30–31°C. This consensus supports the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for a peak of 33°C or below. Model runs show minimal risk of intensification due to the season’s transitional pattern before peak summer heating. Revised observational data or unexpected warm advection could shift outcomes toward 34°C, though such developments remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$110,051Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Beijing on June 2 under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with early-June climatology where average highs reach approximately 30–31°C. This consensus supports the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for a peak of 33°C or below. Model runs show minimal risk of intensification due to the season’s transitional pattern before peak summer heating. Revised observational data or unexpected warm advection could shift outcomes toward 34°C, though such developments remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110,051Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Beijing on June 2 under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with early-June climatology where average highs reach approximately 30–31°C. This consensus supports the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for a peak of 33°C or below. Model runs show minimal risk of intensification due to the season’s transitional pattern before peak summer heating. Revised observational data or unexpected warm advection could shift outcomes toward 34°C, though such developments remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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