National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 3?
52°F or higher 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$47,571 Vol.
$47,571 Vol.
3 mag 2026
33°F or below
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52°F or higher
Yes
52°F or higher 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$47,571 Vol.
$47,571 Vol.
3 mag 2026
33°F or below
$2,795 Vol.
No
34-35°F
$2,654 Vol.
No
36-37°F
$1,377 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$2,387 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$2,369 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$1,264 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$2,317 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$3,137 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$3,020 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$6,667 Vol.
No
52°F or higher
$19,584 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$47,571Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$47,571Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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