Persistent late-summer heat and humidity in Houston, driven by strong southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, high dew points, and limited cloud cover, position mid-to-upper 90s as the most likely range for the August 15 high at Hobby Airport. Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects daily maxima of 93–98 °F under typical August climatology, with recent model runs showing only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation or scattered convection that could cap readings at 94–95 °F. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97 °F (57.5 % implied probability) and 94–95 °F (27.5 %), while low single-digit odds on 98–99 °F capture tail risks from clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated forecast discussions and observational trends will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Houston il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Houston il 15 agosto?
96-97°F 57%
94-95°F 28%
98-99°F 13%
92-93°F 5%
NUOVO
$10,431 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,431 Vol.
15 ago 2026
85°F o inferiore
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
57%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F o superiore
<1%
96-97°F 57%
94-95°F 28%
98-99°F 13%
92-93°F 5%
NUOVO
$10,431 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,431 Vol.
15 ago 2026
85°F o inferiore
$170 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$308 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$476 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$463 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$845 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$1,181 Vol.
28%
96-97°F
$3,783 Vol.
57%
98-99°F
$1,095 Vol.
13%
100-101°F
$852 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$691 Vol.
<1%
104°F o superiore
$568 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat and humidity in Houston, driven by strong southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, high dew points, and limited cloud cover, position mid-to-upper 90s as the most likely range for the August 15 high at Hobby Airport. Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects daily maxima of 93–98 °F under typical August climatology, with recent model runs showing only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation or scattered convection that could cap readings at 94–95 °F. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97 °F (57.5 % implied probability) and 94–95 °F (27.5 %), while low single-digit odds on 98–99 °F capture tail risks from clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated forecast discussions and observational trends will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$10,431Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat and humidity in Houston, driven by strong southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, high dew points, and limited cloud cover, position mid-to-upper 90s as the most likely range for the August 15 high at Hobby Airport. Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects daily maxima of 93–98 °F under typical August climatology, with recent model runs showing only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation or scattered convection that could cap readings at 94–95 °F. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97 °F (57.5 % implied probability) and 94–95 °F (27.5 %), while low single-digit odds on 98–99 °F capture tail risks from clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated forecast discussions and observational trends will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,431Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent late-summer heat and humidity in Houston, driven by strong southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, high dew points, and limited cloud cover, position mid-to-upper 90s as the most likely range for the August 15 high at Hobby Airport. Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects daily maxima of 93–98 °F under typical August climatology, with recent model runs showing only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation or scattered convection that could cap readings at 94–95 °F. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97 °F (57.5 % implied probability) and 94–95 °F (27.5 %), while low single-digit odds on 98–99 °F capture tail risks from clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated forecast discussions and observational trends will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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