Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 4?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,150 Vol.
$48,150 Vol.
4 mag 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,150 Vol.
$48,150 Vol.
4 mag 2026
29°C or below
$20,561 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,434 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,750 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,464 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,492 Vol.
No
34°C
$978 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,927 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,299 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,285 Vol.
No
38°C
$4,309 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$3,650 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$48,150Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,150Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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