Consensus forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and Met Office project a daily maximum of 32–35 °C in Jinan on August 22, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid subtropical air masses across northern China in late summer. This aligns with climatological norms where August highs typically range 30–35 °C, placing the 26 °C threshold well below expected conditions and supporting the market’s 99 % implied probability for that outcome. Minor model spread centers on shower timing and peak timing, yet all runs remain far above the threshold. Only an unforecast strong cold front or unusually persistent heavy precipitation—neither currently indicated—could realistically pull the daily maximum below 26 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Jinan il 22 agosto?
26°C or higher 99%
25°C 2%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99%
25°C 2%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
16°C or below
$295 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$195 Vol.
1%
22°C
$195 Vol.
1%
23°C
$195 Vol.
1%
24°C
$245 Vol.
1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$277 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and Met Office project a daily maximum of 32–35 °C in Jinan on August 22, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid subtropical air masses across northern China in late summer. This aligns with climatological norms where August highs typically range 30–35 °C, placing the 26 °C threshold well below expected conditions and supporting the market’s 99 % implied probability for that outcome. Minor model spread centers on shower timing and peak timing, yet all runs remain far above the threshold. Only an unforecast strong cold front or unusually persistent heavy precipitation—neither currently indicated—could realistically pull the daily maximum below 26 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,602Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and Met Office project a daily maximum of 32–35 °C in Jinan on August 22, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid subtropical air masses across northern China in late summer. This aligns with climatological norms where August highs typically range 30–35 °C, placing the 26 °C threshold well below expected conditions and supporting the market’s 99 % implied probability for that outcome. Minor model spread centers on shower timing and peak timing, yet all runs remain far above the threshold. Only an unforecast strong cold front or unusually persistent heavy precipitation—neither currently indicated—could realistically pull the daily maximum below 26 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,602Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and Met Office project a daily maximum of 32–35 °C in Jinan on August 22, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid subtropical air masses across northern China in late summer. This aligns with climatological norms where August highs typically range 30–35 °C, placing the 26 °C threshold well below expected conditions and supporting the market’s 99 % implied probability for that outcome. Minor model spread centers on shower timing and peak timing, yet all runs remain far above the threshold. Only an unforecast strong cold front or unusually persistent heavy precipitation—neither currently indicated—could realistically pull the daily maximum below 26 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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