Recent meteorological forecasts for Jinan indicate a high near 28–30°C on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, well above the 26°C threshold and consistent with late-summer climatology showing average highs of 27–28°C. Official guidance and ensemble model consensus reflect persistent warm advection with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected, supporting the market’s 91% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions rather than any short-term anomaly. A rapid influx of cooler air or unforecast stratiform clouds could lower maxima, though current data offer little support for such shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 1° settembre?
26°C or higher 99%
25°C 19%
24°C 2.0%
22°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
19%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99%
25°C 19%
24°C 2.0%
22°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
19%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Jinan indicate a high near 28–30°C on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, well above the 26°C threshold and consistent with late-summer climatology showing average highs of 27–28°C. Official guidance and ensemble model consensus reflect persistent warm advection with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected, supporting the market’s 91% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions rather than any short-term anomaly. A rapid influx of cooler air or unforecast stratiform clouds could lower maxima, though current data offer little support for such shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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