Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project clear skies and highs of 31–33°C for Jinan on September 5, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow typical of early autumn in the region. This aligns with the market’s dominant 26°C-or-higher outcome at 59.5% implied probability, as current model consensus exceeds the long-term September average high of roughly 26°C. Minimal precipitation risk and light winds further reduce cooling potential, while the narrow spread among lower-temperature bins reflects limited downside scenarios. Traders are incorporating the latest model runs ahead of the day’s official observations, which will determine the recorded maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 5 settembre?
26°C o superiore 59%
24°C 3%
25°C 2%
16°C o meno 1.0%
16°C o meno
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C o superiore
59%
26°C o superiore 59%
24°C 3%
25°C 2%
16°C o meno 1.0%
16°C o meno
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C o superiore
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project clear skies and highs of 31–33°C for Jinan on September 5, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow typical of early autumn in the region. This aligns with the market’s dominant 26°C-or-higher outcome at 59.5% implied probability, as current model consensus exceeds the long-term September average high of roughly 26°C. Minimal precipitation risk and light winds further reduce cooling potential, while the narrow spread among lower-temperature bins reflects limited downside scenarios. Traders are incorporating the latest model runs ahead of the day’s official observations, which will determine the recorded maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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