Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$250,809 Vol.
$250,809 Vol.
2 mag 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$250,809 Vol.
$250,809 Vol.
2 mag 2026
27°C or below
$9,373 Vol.
No
28°C
$71,039 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,824 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,714 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,534 Vol.
No
32°C
$22,240 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$71,402 Vol.
No
34°C
$12,180 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,053 Vol.
No
36°C
$9,263 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$8,188 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$250,809Data di fine
2 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$250,809Data di fine
2 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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