National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate marine-layer clouds and a persistent onshore flow will limit the highest temperature at downtown Los Angeles or Los Angeles International Airport stations to the upper 70s to low 90s on August 23, well below seasonal peaks. This pattern follows the early-August heat wave that briefly pushed readings to 91 °F downtown and follows climatological norms for late-summer coastal suppression. With model consensus showing no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging, the 99 % market-implied probability for 91 °F or below reflects verified forecast data rather than speculation. A rapid shift to clear skies and easterly winds would be required to challenge this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 23 agosto?
91°F o meno 98.4%
100-101°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
108-109°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
91°F o meno
98%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F o superiore
<1%
91°F o meno 98.4%
100-101°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
108-109°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
91°F o meno
$351 Vol.
98%
92-93°F
$76 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$85 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$86 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$190 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$61 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$66 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$68 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$106 Vol.
<1%
110°F o superiore
$82 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate marine-layer clouds and a persistent onshore flow will limit the highest temperature at downtown Los Angeles or Los Angeles International Airport stations to the upper 70s to low 90s on August 23, well below seasonal peaks. This pattern follows the early-August heat wave that briefly pushed readings to 91 °F downtown and follows climatological norms for late-summer coastal suppression. With model consensus showing no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging, the 99 % market-implied probability for 91 °F or below reflects verified forecast data rather than speculation. A rapid shift to clear skies and easterly winds would be required to challenge this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,266Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate marine-layer clouds and a persistent onshore flow will limit the highest temperature at downtown Los Angeles or Los Angeles International Airport stations to the upper 70s to low 90s on August 23, well below seasonal peaks. This pattern follows the early-August heat wave that briefly pushed readings to 91 °F downtown and follows climatological norms for late-summer coastal suppression. With model consensus showing no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging, the 99 % market-implied probability for 91 °F or below reflects verified forecast data rather than speculation. A rapid shift to clear skies and easterly winds would be required to challenge this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,266Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate marine-layer clouds and a persistent onshore flow will limit the highest temperature at downtown Los Angeles or Los Angeles International Airport stations to the upper 70s to low 90s on August 23, well below seasonal peaks. This pattern follows the early-August heat wave that briefly pushed readings to 91 °F downtown and follows climatological norms for late-summer coastal suppression. With model consensus showing no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging, the 99 % market-implied probability for 91 °F or below reflects verified forecast data rather than speculation. A rapid shift to clear skies and easterly winds would be required to challenge this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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