India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow recording a maximum of 39.3°C on April 15 amid an intensifying pre-monsoon heatwave, with clear skies and northwesterly winds at 10-15 km/h driving low humidity around 25-30%, conditions primed for strong daytime solar insolation on April 17. IMD's latest forecast projects around 39°C under persistent subsidence from a high-pressure ridge, yet trader consensus tilts slightly to 40°C at 31.5% implied probability—edging 41°C (27%) and 39°C (25.5%)—reflecting model spread and urban heat island effects that could boost peaks by 1-2°C. Key differentiators include afternoon haze potential capping at 39°C versus unobstructed heating to 41°C; resolution hinges on official IMD airport station data, with updates expected April 18.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
40°C 35%
41°C 29%
39°C 23%
42°C 7%
37°C or below
1%
38°C
3%
39°C
23%
40°C
35%
41°C
29%
42°C
7%
43°C
2%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
40°C 35%
41°C 29%
39°C 23%
42°C 7%
37°C or below
1%
38°C
3%
39°C
23%
40°C
35%
41°C
29%
42°C
7%
43°C
2%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow recording a maximum of 39.3°C on April 15 amid an intensifying pre-monsoon heatwave, with clear skies and northwesterly winds at 10-15 km/h driving low humidity around 25-30%, conditions primed for strong daytime solar insolation on April 17. IMD's latest forecast projects around 39°C under persistent subsidence from a high-pressure ridge, yet trader consensus tilts slightly to 40°C at 31.5% implied probability—edging 41°C (27%) and 39°C (25.5%)—reflecting model spread and urban heat island effects that could boost peaks by 1-2°C. Key differentiators include afternoon haze potential capping at 39°C versus unobstructed heating to 41°C; resolution hinges on official IMD airport station data, with updates expected April 18.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti