India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C for Lucknow on May 7 under partly cloudy skies with potential thundery development and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below. Recent unseasonably cool conditions—May 6 high of 33.3°C (6.4°C below normal) and May 4 peak of 29°C amid 14.8 mm rainfall—stem from persistent cloud cover and atmospheric instability suppressing daytime solar heating, far below typical early-May norms of 39–42°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, model consensus shows no rapid clearing; an unexpected prolonged sunshine window could challenge this, though IMD's evening bulletin is key for final confirmation before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 7?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$60,348 Vol.
$60,348 Vol.
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$60,348 Vol.
$60,348 Vol.
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C for Lucknow on May 7 under partly cloudy skies with potential thundery development and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below. Recent unseasonably cool conditions—May 6 high of 33.3°C (6.4°C below normal) and May 4 peak of 29°C amid 14.8 mm rainfall—stem from persistent cloud cover and atmospheric instability suppressing daytime solar heating, far below typical early-May norms of 39–42°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, model consensus shows no rapid clearing; an unexpected prolonged sunshine window could challenge this, though IMD's evening bulletin is key for final confirmation before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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