Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$115,158 Vol.
$115,158 Vol.
18 apr 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$115,158 Vol.
$115,158 Vol.
18 apr 2026
22°C or below
$7,529 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,067 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,101 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,473 Vol.
No
26°C
$31,077 Vol.
No
27°C
$17,237 Vol.
No
28°C
$20,634 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$12,599 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,310 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,513 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,618 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Volume
$115,158Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$115,158Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti