Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local Mexican meteorological services points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon showers for Mexico City on August 3, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures near the long-term August average of 24–26°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Persistent moisture from the North American monsoon and typical convective cloud buildup in the rainy season are suppressing peak heating despite seasonal solar angles, while the urban heat island effect and variable wind patterns introduce small upside risks. With 26°C and 27°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, the market reflects tight uncertainty around whether daytime maxima reach the upper end of the forecast envelope or stay capped by earlier cloud cover; updated National Meteorological Service runs and real-time station data tomorrow morning will likely sharpen resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 3 agosto?
27°C 38%
26°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 11%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
34%
27°C
38%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 11%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
34%
27°C
38%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local Mexican meteorological services points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon showers for Mexico City on August 3, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures near the long-term August average of 24–26°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Persistent moisture from the North American monsoon and typical convective cloud buildup in the rainy season are suppressing peak heating despite seasonal solar angles, while the urban heat island effect and variable wind patterns introduce small upside risks. With 26°C and 27°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, the market reflects tight uncertainty around whether daytime maxima reach the upper end of the forecast envelope or stay capped by earlier cloud cover; updated National Meteorological Service runs and real-time station data tomorrow morning will likely sharpen resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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