**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high on September 11, 2026, in Mexico City aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional meteorological guidance.** September falls in the rainy season across the high-elevation Valley of Mexico (approximately 2,240 m), where afternoon convective activity and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Official outlooks consistently projected a peak of 25.0°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with a 70–80% chance of showers, consistent with National Meteorological Service patterns and historical station data from Benito Juárez International Airport. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and climatological baselines rather than any single forecast run. Realistic challenges to resolution at exactly 25°C include station-specific measurement differences, localized clearing that permits brief additional warming, or post-event data revisions from official reporting agencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico l'11 settembre?
25°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$26,870 Vol.
$26,870 Vol.
11 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$26,870 Vol.
$26,870 Vol.
11 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$266 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,861 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,522 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,909 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,141 Vol.
100%
26°C o superiore
$4,941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high on September 11, 2026, in Mexico City aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional meteorological guidance.** September falls in the rainy season across the high-elevation Valley of Mexico (approximately 2,240 m), where afternoon convective activity and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Official outlooks consistently projected a peak of 25.0°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with a 70–80% chance of showers, consistent with National Meteorological Service patterns and historical station data from Benito Juárez International Airport. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and climatological baselines rather than any single forecast run. Realistic challenges to resolution at exactly 25°C include station-specific measurement differences, localized clearing that permits brief additional warming, or post-event data revisions from official reporting agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$26,870Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high on September 11, 2026, in Mexico City aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional meteorological guidance.** September falls in the rainy season across the high-elevation Valley of Mexico (approximately 2,240 m), where afternoon convective activity and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Official outlooks consistently projected a peak of 25.0°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with a 70–80% chance of showers, consistent with National Meteorological Service patterns and historical station data from Benito Juárez International Airport. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and climatological baselines rather than any single forecast run. Realistic challenges to resolution at exactly 25°C include station-specific measurement differences, localized clearing that permits brief additional warming, or post-event data revisions from official reporting agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,870Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high on September 11, 2026, in Mexico City aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional meteorological guidance.** September falls in the rainy season across the high-elevation Valley of Mexico (approximately 2,240 m), where afternoon convective activity and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Official outlooks consistently projected a peak of 25.0°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with a 70–80% chance of showers, consistent with National Meteorological Service patterns and historical station data from Benito Juárez International Airport. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and climatological baselines rather than any single forecast run. Realistic challenges to resolution at exactly 25°C include station-specific measurement differences, localized clearing that permits brief additional warming, or post-event data revisions from official reporting agencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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