Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a peak temperature of 91°F on May 9, 2026, at 2 PM and 4 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 90-91°F outcome as the market nears resolution. Hourly data from the automated surface observing system showed temperatures rising from morning lows near 76°F under partly cloudy skies and south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, surpassing the climatological normal maximum of 86°F for early May but well below the record 95°F set in 2010. This warmer-than-average reading aligns with recent high-pressure ridging over Florida, boosting surface heating. With data now finalized in daily climate summaries, realistic challenges are minimal—only an official revision from NOAA or discrepancies in final quality-controlled records could shift positioning, though none are indicated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Miami on May 9?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 9?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,889 Vol.
$71,889 Vol.
9 mag 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,889 Vol.
$71,889 Vol.
9 mag 2026
79°F or below
$1,749 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,872 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,563 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$5,128 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$8,783 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$19,729 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$9,447 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$8,430 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$5,759 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$4,655 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$2,773 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a peak temperature of 91°F on May 9, 2026, at 2 PM and 4 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 90-91°F outcome as the market nears resolution. Hourly data from the automated surface observing system showed temperatures rising from morning lows near 76°F under partly cloudy skies and south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, surpassing the climatological normal maximum of 86°F for early May but well below the record 95°F set in 2010. This warmer-than-average reading aligns with recent high-pressure ridging over Florida, boosting surface heating. With data now finalized in daily climate summaries, realistic challenges are minimal—only an official revision from NOAA or discrepancies in final quality-controlled records could shift positioning, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$71,889Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a peak temperature of 91°F on May 9, 2026, at 2 PM and 4 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 90-91°F outcome as the market nears resolution. Hourly data from the automated surface observing system showed temperatures rising from morning lows near 76°F under partly cloudy skies and south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, surpassing the climatological normal maximum of 86°F for early May but well below the record 95°F set in 2010. This warmer-than-average reading aligns with recent high-pressure ridging over Florida, boosting surface heating. With data now finalized in daily climate summaries, realistic challenges are minimal—only an official revision from NOAA or discrepancies in final quality-controlled records could shift positioning, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,889Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a peak temperature of 91°F on May 9, 2026, at 2 PM and 4 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 90-91°F outcome as the market nears resolution. Hourly data from the automated surface observing system showed temperatures rising from morning lows near 76°F under partly cloudy skies and south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, surpassing the climatological normal maximum of 86°F for early May but well below the record 95°F set in 2010. This warmer-than-average reading aligns with recent high-pressure ridging over Florida, boosting surface heating. With data now finalized in daily climate summaries, realistic challenges are minimal—only an official revision from NOAA or discrepancies in final quality-controlled records could shift positioning, though none are indicated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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