Recent forecasts from meteorological sources including Yr.no, Hydrometeorological Center updates, and ensemble models indicate a daytime high of 19–20°C in Moscow on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a modest chance of showers. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.0°C for the date and follows a brief warm spell reaching 25–26°C on September 1. Cooling is driven by a shift to Atlantic air masses, with models showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong signals for extremes. Market-implied probabilities, heaviest on 19–20°C outcomes, reflect this narrow forecast range and the typical resolution criteria based on official station maxima, while lower probabilities for 21°C+ or 18°C and below capture residual model spread ahead of final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 3 settembre?
20°C 43%
19°C 24%
21°C 22%
18°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
24%
20°C
43%
21°C
22%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 43%
19°C 24%
21°C 22%
18°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
16°C
$5 Vol.
5%
17°C
$26 Vol.
5%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
43%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$13 Vol.
6%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$355 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological sources including Yr.no, Hydrometeorological Center updates, and ensemble models indicate a daytime high of 19–20°C in Moscow on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a modest chance of showers. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.0°C for the date and follows a brief warm spell reaching 25–26°C on September 1. Cooling is driven by a shift to Atlantic air masses, with models showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong signals for extremes. Market-implied probabilities, heaviest on 19–20°C outcomes, reflect this narrow forecast range and the typical resolution criteria based on official station maxima, while lower probabilities for 21°C+ or 18°C and below capture residual model spread ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$420Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological sources including Yr.no, Hydrometeorological Center updates, and ensemble models indicate a daytime high of 19–20°C in Moscow on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a modest chance of showers. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.0°C for the date and follows a brief warm spell reaching 25–26°C on September 1. Cooling is driven by a shift to Atlantic air masses, with models showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong signals for extremes. Market-implied probabilities, heaviest on 19–20°C outcomes, reflect this narrow forecast range and the typical resolution criteria based on official station maxima, while lower probabilities for 21°C+ or 18°C and below capture residual model spread ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$420Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological sources including Yr.no, Hydrometeorological Center updates, and ensemble models indicate a daytime high of 19–20°C in Moscow on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a modest chance of showers. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.0°C for the date and follows a brief warm spell reaching 25–26°C on September 1. Cooling is driven by a shift to Atlantic air masses, with models showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong signals for extremes. Market-implied probabilities, heaviest on 19–20°C outcomes, reflect this narrow forecast range and the typical resolution criteria based on official station maxima, while lower probabilities for 21°C+ or 18°C and below capture residual model spread ahead of final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti