Current numerical weather prediction models, including recent ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a warm air mass advecting over southern Germany, supporting a June 23 maximum near 32 °C in Munich with light rain or showers possible midday. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and precipitation onset create the observed spread between leading outcomes. Ensemble variability remains modest two days out, yet traders weigh the risk that earlier or heavier showers could cap the peak at 31 °C versus clearer intervals allowing 33 °C, with official DWD observations on the day serving as the resolution source.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Munich on June 23?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 23?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$97,113 Vol.
$97,113 Vol.
23 giu 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$97,113 Vol.
$97,113 Vol.
23 giu 2026
27°C or below
$303 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,483 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,928 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,584 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,822 Vol.
No
32°C
$35,336 Vol.
No
33°C
$15,072 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$7,849 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,866 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,434 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,437 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including recent ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a warm air mass advecting over southern Germany, supporting a June 23 maximum near 32 °C in Munich with light rain or showers possible midday. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and precipitation onset create the observed spread between leading outcomes. Ensemble variability remains modest two days out, yet traders weigh the risk that earlier or heavier showers could cap the peak at 31 °C versus clearer intervals allowing 33 °C, with official DWD observations on the day serving as the resolution source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$97,113Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including recent ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a warm air mass advecting over southern Germany, supporting a June 23 maximum near 32 °C in Munich with light rain or showers possible midday. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and precipitation onset create the observed spread between leading outcomes. Ensemble variability remains modest two days out, yet traders weigh the risk that earlier or heavier showers could cap the peak at 31 °C versus clearer intervals allowing 33 °C, with official DWD observations on the day serving as the resolution source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$97,113Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current numerical weather prediction models, including recent ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a warm air mass advecting over southern Germany, supporting a June 23 maximum near 32 °C in Munich with light rain or showers possible midday. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and precipitation onset create the observed spread between leading outcomes. Ensemble variability remains modest two days out, yet traders weigh the risk that earlier or heavier showers could cap the peak at 31 °C versus clearer intervals allowing 33 °C, with official DWD observations on the day serving as the resolution source.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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