The market for New York City’s highest temperature on May 20 has settled decisively on 94-95°F, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations that recorded a daily maximum in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. Regional air masses and limited heat advection prevented further warming, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Northeast where typical peaks hover near 70°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for upward revisions. Only an unexpected post-event data correction or change in station protocols could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain uncommon for surface temperature maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 20?
94-95°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$61,618 Vol.
$61,618 Vol.
20 mag 2026
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$61,618 Vol.
$61,618 Vol.
20 mag 2026
85°F or below
$7,875 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,281 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,740 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$10,777 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,599 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$9,748 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$11,101 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$2,391 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,245 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,502 Vol.
No
104°F or higher
$359 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market for New York City’s highest temperature on May 20 has settled decisively on 94-95°F, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations that recorded a daily maximum in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. Regional air masses and limited heat advection prevented further warming, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Northeast where typical peaks hover near 70°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for upward revisions. Only an unexpected post-event data correction or change in station protocols could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain uncommon for surface temperature maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$61,618Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market for New York City’s highest temperature on May 20 has settled decisively on 94-95°F, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations that recorded a daily maximum in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. Regional air masses and limited heat advection prevented further warming, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Northeast where typical peaks hover near 70°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for upward revisions. Only an unexpected post-event data correction or change in station protocols could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain uncommon for surface temperature maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,618Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The market for New York City’s highest temperature on May 20 has settled decisively on 94-95°F, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations that recorded a daily maximum in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. Regional air masses and limited heat advection prevented further warming, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Northeast where typical peaks hover near 70°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for upward revisions. Only an unexpected post-event data correction or change in station protocols could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain uncommon for surface temperature maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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