Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 7?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$178,572 Vol.
$178,572 Vol.
7 mag 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$178,572 Vol.
$178,572 Vol.
7 mag 2026
55°F or below
$4,911 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$9,223 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$24,314 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$18,944 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$29,911 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$24,979 Vol.
Yes
66-67°F
$25,052 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$15,001 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$10,166 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$7,663 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$8,408 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$178,572Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$178,572Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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