**Current forecasts and September climatology for Panama City, Panama, strongly support trader consensus around a 32°C daily high.** Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and AccuWeather indicate afternoon peaks near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the long-term average September high of approximately 30–31°C. High humidity and typical convective activity in the rainy season limit extreme heating, while the absence of anomalous ridging or suppressed convection keeps temperatures from deviating far from norms. The 99% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this narrow expected range, with lower odds on 33°C or above acknowledging modest upside potential if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from local meteorological observations; any significant shift in storm timing or intensity could still alter the exact peak within the narrow band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 20 settembre?
32°C 99.6%
33°C 12%
34°C o superiore 2.3%
24°C o inferiore <1%
$23,080 Vol.
$23,080 Vol.
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
12%
34°C o superiore
2%
32°C 99.6%
33°C 12%
34°C o superiore 2.3%
24°C o inferiore <1%
$23,080 Vol.
$23,080 Vol.
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
12%
34°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts and September climatology for Panama City, Panama, strongly support trader consensus around a 32°C daily high.** Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and AccuWeather indicate afternoon peaks near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the long-term average September high of approximately 30–31°C. High humidity and typical convective activity in the rainy season limit extreme heating, while the absence of anomalous ridging or suppressed convection keeps temperatures from deviating far from norms. The 99% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this narrow expected range, with lower odds on 33°C or above acknowledging modest upside potential if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from local meteorological observations; any significant shift in storm timing or intensity could still alter the exact peak within the narrow band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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