Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$61,109 Vol.
$61,109 Vol.
9 mag 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$61,109 Vol.
$61,109 Vol.
9 mag 2026
47°F or below
$4,926 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$2,026 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,502 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,099 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,540 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$3,013 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,744 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$4,572 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,929 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$25,874 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$9,885 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volume
$61,109Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,109Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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