Current forecast consensus from regional models and agencies points to a maximum temperature of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability. Typical August climatology features daytime highs averaging 30–31°C under stable subtropical high pressure, with minimal rainfall and moderate humidity; recent observations show similar conditions persisting without significant heat advection or instability. Ensemble guidance indicates limited day-to-day variability through midweek, with steering patterns favoring continued clear skies and light winds that support gradual warming but cap extreme outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, though historical analogs suggest deviations beyond 33°C remain unlikely absent rapid synoptic shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 19 agosto?
32°C 63%
31°C 31%
33°C 5%
30°C 2.0%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
31%
32°C
63%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
31°C 31%
33°C 5%
30°C 2.0%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
31%
32°C
63%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models and agencies points to a maximum temperature of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability. Typical August climatology features daytime highs averaging 30–31°C under stable subtropical high pressure, with minimal rainfall and moderate humidity; recent observations show similar conditions persisting without significant heat advection or instability. Ensemble guidance indicates limited day-to-day variability through midweek, with steering patterns favoring continued clear skies and light winds that support gradual warming but cap extreme outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, though historical analogs suggest deviations beyond 33°C remain unlikely absent rapid synoptic shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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