Short-range forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office currently point to a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 65.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes typical of the Mediterranean climate keep extremes unlikely, consistent with historical August averages near 31°C and recent stable readings of 31–33°C. Updated model runs show limited variability ahead of the observation window, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could still influence final measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 21 agosto?
33°C 66%
34°C 17%
32°C 16%
31°C 10%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
16%
33°C
66%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
34°C 17%
32°C 16%
31°C 10%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
16%
33°C
66%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office currently point to a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 65.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes typical of the Mediterranean climate keep extremes unlikely, consistent with historical August averages near 31°C and recent stable readings of 31–33°C. Updated model runs show limited variability ahead of the observation window, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could still influence final measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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