Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 9 will likely reach 31–32°C under clear skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity. These conditions align with late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where daytime heating peaks in the early afternoon before moderating. The market-implied 68% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment that models may slightly understate the high, while the 29.5% on 34°C accounts for possible warmer bias in some ensembles. Historical September averages near 30–31°C and stable steering patterns support limited upside beyond 34°C, with no significant synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 9 settembre?
33°C 68%
34°C 30%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
NUOVO
$12,156 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,156 Vol.
9 set 2026
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
68%
34°C
30%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 68%
34°C 30%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
NUOVO
$12,156 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,156 Vol.
9 set 2026
29°C o inferiore
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$782 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,070 Vol.
4%
33°C
$2,758 Vol.
68%
34°C
$1,840 Vol.
30%
35°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$848 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
39°C o superiore
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 9 will likely reach 31–32°C under clear skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity. These conditions align with late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where daytime heating peaks in the early afternoon before moderating. The market-implied 68% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment that models may slightly understate the high, while the 29.5% on 34°C accounts for possible warmer bias in some ensembles. Historical September averages near 30–31°C and stable steering patterns support limited upside beyond 34°C, with no significant synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,156Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 9 will likely reach 31–32°C under clear skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity. These conditions align with late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where daytime heating peaks in the early afternoon before moderating. The market-implied 68% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment that models may slightly understate the high, while the 29.5% on 34°C accounts for possible warmer bias in some ensembles. Historical September averages near 30–31°C and stable steering patterns support limited upside beyond 34°C, with no significant synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,156Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 9 will likely reach 31–32°C under clear skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity. These conditions align with late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where daytime heating peaks in the early afternoon before moderating. The market-implied 68% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment that models may slightly understate the high, while the 29.5% on 34°C accounts for possible warmer bias in some ensembles. Historical September averages near 30–31°C and stable steering patterns support limited upside beyond 34°C, with no significant synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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