Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 8°C at 3:00 PM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 11–22 km/h, and a cool air mass suppressed daytime heating, peaking below the pre-event ECCC forecast of 9°C from hourly guidance models. Historical May norms around 17–18°C underscore the anomalously cool conditions amid early spring variability. Post-resolution, only an unprecedented data correction by the market's source, Wunderground's finalized CYYZ records, could challenge this positioning, though such revisions are rare after verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$76,052 Vol.
$76,052 Vol.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$76,052 Vol.
$76,052 Vol.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 8°C at 3:00 PM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 11–22 km/h, and a cool air mass suppressed daytime heating, peaking below the pre-event ECCC forecast of 9°C from hourly guidance models. Historical May norms around 17–18°C underscore the anomalously cool conditions amid early spring variability. Post-resolution, only an unprecedented data correction by the market's source, Wunderground's finalized CYYZ records, could challenge this positioning, though such revisions are rare after verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti