Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and Chinese Meteorological Administration models show a tight cluster around 28-30°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 19 at Tianhe International Airport, reflecting trader consensus amid a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and southerly winds advecting warmth. Recent observations confirm a sharp warming trend—22°C on April 11 rising to near 27°C today—above mid-April climatological averages of 23°C, with minimal cloud cover (10-20% precipitation odds) enabling strong diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary-layer mixing and potential isolated afternoon cumulus, which could shave or add 1°C to the peak; new 12Z runs expected within hours may shift implied probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
29°C 29%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
27%
29°C
29%
30°C
21%
31°C
20%
32°C
11%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
27%
29°C
29%
30°C
21%
31°C
20%
32°C
11%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and Chinese Meteorological Administration models show a tight cluster around 28-30°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 19 at Tianhe International Airport, reflecting trader consensus amid a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and southerly winds advecting warmth. Recent observations confirm a sharp warming trend—22°C on April 11 rising to near 27°C today—above mid-April climatological averages of 23°C, with minimal cloud cover (10-20% precipitation odds) enabling strong diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary-layer mixing and potential isolated afternoon cumulus, which could shave or add 1°C to the peak; new 12Z runs expected within hours may shift implied probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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