**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, centered near 30–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or southerly winds, and high pressure favoring diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influence.** This produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C. Subtle model spreads arise from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface albedo effects on the North China Plain, and exact peak solar insolation timing; historical September averages near 27–29°C provide context for the current warmer anomaly. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the precise daily maximum ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 14 settembre?
31°C 40%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
26°C o inferiore
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
19%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
26°C o inferiore
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
19%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, centered near 30–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or southerly winds, and high pressure favoring diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influence.** This produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C. Subtle model spreads arise from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface albedo effects on the North China Plain, and exact peak solar insolation timing; historical September averages near 27–29°C provide context for the current warmer anomaly. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the precise daily maximum ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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