Recent forecast models indicate a shift toward increased cloud cover, showers, and isolated thunderstorms over Amsterdam on August 26, driven by southeasterly flow and elevated humidity that should limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows clustered near 16–19°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those thresholds, while historical August minima near 12–13°C appear less likely under the current pattern. Ensemble spreads reflect minor disagreements on exact timing of precipitation and wind speeds, which could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C either way. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 26 agosto?
19°C 83%
13°C 80%
20°C 80%
12°C or below 59%
12°C or below
59%
13°C
80%
14°C
39%
15°C
24%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
47%
19°C
83%
20°C
80%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
59%
19°C 83%
13°C 80%
20°C 80%
12°C or below 59%
12°C or below
59%
13°C
80%
14°C
39%
15°C
24%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
47%
19°C
83%
20°C
80%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a shift toward increased cloud cover, showers, and isolated thunderstorms over Amsterdam on August 26, driven by southeasterly flow and elevated humidity that should limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows clustered near 16–19°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those thresholds, while historical August minima near 12–13°C appear less likely under the current pattern. Ensemble spreads reflect minor disagreements on exact timing of precipitation and wind speeds, which could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C either way. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti