Current forecast models point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds as the key driver keeping Ankara's minimum temperature near 12–14°C on August 30. High pressure and low dew points near 11–12°C support efficient heat loss after sunset, while the city's 900 m elevation amplifies the diurnal range typical of late-summer continental conditions. Recent days show cooler-than-normal highs around 25°C, consistent with seasonal norms but with limited moisture to moderate cooling. Ensemble spread creates tight market odds around 12°C versus 13°C, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before official observations finalize.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 30 agosto?
15°C 42%
12°C 40%
14°C 36%
11°C 34%
9°C or below
25%
10°C
9%
11°C
34%
12°C
40%
13°C
29%
14°C
36%
15°C
42%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
32%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 42%
12°C 40%
14°C 36%
11°C 34%
9°C or below
25%
10°C
9%
11°C
34%
12°C
40%
13°C
29%
14°C
36%
15°C
42%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
32%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds as the key driver keeping Ankara's minimum temperature near 12–14°C on August 30. High pressure and low dew points near 11–12°C support efficient heat loss after sunset, while the city's 900 m elevation amplifies the diurnal range typical of late-summer continental conditions. Recent days show cooler-than-normal highs around 25°C, consistent with seasonal norms but with limited moisture to moderate cooling. Ensemble spread creates tight market odds around 12°C versus 13°C, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before official observations finalize.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti