**Forecast models and official guidance from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international sources (Met Office, Yr.no, PredictWind) converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14°C for Ankara on August 29, 2026.** This directly supports the market's leading outcomes at 14°C (51.5%) and 13°C (35%), reflecting aggregated trader consensus on these values as the most probable recorded low at official stations. Ankara's high-elevation continental setting (~890–900 m) typically produces clear nocturnal radiative cooling in late August, but current conditions feature increased cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that moderate temperature drops. Hourly data show temperatures bottoming near dawn after daytime highs around 23–24°C, with dew points supporting limited further cooling. Historical August lows average near 16°C, so this cooler pattern aligns with a recent regional cooling trend and model consensus across runs. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable. Resolution hinges on the precise official minimum reported for the calendar day; minor variations in timing of clearing skies or localized precipitation could nudge the exact value between the top two bins. Traders are pricing the narrow 13–14°C window heavily because ensemble agreement is strong while uncertainty remains low for extremes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 29 agosto?
14°C 93%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
13°C 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
-
12°C
2%
13°C
15%
14°C
93%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 93%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
13°C 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
9°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$85 Vol.
2%
11°C
$101 Vol.
-
12°C
$87 Vol.
2%
13°C
$60 Vol.
15%
14°C
$273 Vol.
93%
15°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international sources (Met Office, Yr.no, PredictWind) converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14°C for Ankara on August 29, 2026.** This directly supports the market's leading outcomes at 14°C (51.5%) and 13°C (35%), reflecting aggregated trader consensus on these values as the most probable recorded low at official stations.
Ankara's high-elevation continental setting (~890–900 m) typically produces clear nocturnal radiative cooling in late August, but current conditions feature increased cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that moderate temperature drops. Hourly data show temperatures bottoming near dawn after daytime highs around 23–24°C, with dew points supporting limited further cooling. Historical August lows average near 16°C, so this cooler pattern aligns with a recent regional cooling trend and model consensus across runs.
No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable. Resolution hinges on the precise official minimum reported for the calendar day; minor variations in timing of clearing skies or localized precipitation could nudge the exact value between the top two bins. Traders are pricing the narrow 13–14°C window heavily because ensemble agreement is strong while uncertainty remains low for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$829Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international sources (Met Office, Yr.no, PredictWind) converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14°C for Ankara on August 29, 2026.** This directly supports the market's leading outcomes at 14°C (51.5%) and 13°C (35%), reflecting aggregated trader consensus on these values as the most probable recorded low at official stations.
Ankara's high-elevation continental setting (~890–900 m) typically produces clear nocturnal radiative cooling in late August, but current conditions feature increased cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that moderate temperature drops. Hourly data show temperatures bottoming near dawn after daytime highs around 23–24°C, with dew points supporting limited further cooling. Historical August lows average near 16°C, so this cooler pattern aligns with a recent regional cooling trend and model consensus across runs.
No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable. Resolution hinges on the precise official minimum reported for the calendar day; minor variations in timing of clearing skies or localized precipitation could nudge the exact value between the top two bins. Traders are pricing the narrow 13–14°C window heavily because ensemble agreement is strong while uncertainty remains low for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$829Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international sources (Met Office, Yr.no, PredictWind) converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14°C for Ankara on August 29, 2026.** This directly supports the market's leading outcomes at 14°C (51.5%) and 13°C (35%), reflecting aggregated trader consensus on these values as the most probable recorded low at official stations. Ankara's high-elevation continental setting (~890–900 m) typically produces clear nocturnal radiative cooling in late August, but current conditions feature increased cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that moderate temperature drops. Hourly data show temperatures bottoming near dawn after daytime highs around 23–24°C, with dew points supporting limited further cooling. Historical August lows average near 16°C, so this cooler pattern aligns with a recent regional cooling trend and model consensus across runs. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable. Resolution hinges on the precise official minimum reported for the calendar day; minor variations in timing of clearing skies or localized precipitation could nudge the exact value between the top two bins. Traders are pricing the narrow 13–14°C window heavily because ensemble agreement is strong while uncertainty remains low for extremes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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