**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models, indicate a daytime high in Ankara of 24–25°C on August 29, 2026, with afternoon peaks near or slightly below 24°C under mostly cloudy skies.** Northerly to northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms (especially in eastern parts of the region), are limiting daytime heating on the Anatolian plateau. Overnight lows around 12–14°C further support a modest diurnal range typical for late August. These conditions follow a period of warmer, sunnier weather earlier in the month, with recent model runs showing cooling due to a shift in steering patterns and higher humidity. Official guidance consistently places the maximum near 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 42.5%, 23°C at 30%, 25°C at 21.5%). Traders assign low probability to outliers because ensemble consensus shows limited upside for intensification of heat or significant cooling, with no major forecast shifts reported in the last 24–48 hours. Resolution will depend on the official daily maximum recorded at Ankara’s primary stations.