Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Pechino il 23 agosto?
19°C or below 81%
28°C 51%
20°C 49%
24°C 30%
19°C or below
81%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
29%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
51%
29°C or higher
2%
19°C or below 81%
28°C 51%
20°C 49%
24°C 30%
19°C or below
81%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
29%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
51%
29°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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