**Strong model consensus supports a 15°C minimum in Cape Town on September 12, 2026, driven by stable southeasterly winds, overcast skies, and mild maritime air keeping overnight temperatures from dropping further.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Weather Underground and regional models, indicate the low will occur in the pre-dawn hours near 15–16°C, consistent with current surface observations around 17–20°C during the day and no incoming cold front. This aligns with the 97% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C. Realistic challenges include minor station-specific variations from official South African Weather Service measurements or localized cooling if cloud cover breaks earlier than expected, though the overall pattern shows limited downside risk.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Capo il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Capo il 12 settembre?
15°C 98%
14°C 96%
13°C 10%
12°C o inferiore <1%
$788 Vol.
$788 Vol.
12 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
10%
14°C
96%
15°C
74%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 98%
14°C 96%
13°C 10%
12°C o inferiore <1%
$788 Vol.
$788 Vol.
12 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$80 Vol.
96%
15°C
$102 Vol.
74%
16°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C o superiore
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus supports a 15°C minimum in Cape Town on September 12, 2026, driven by stable southeasterly winds, overcast skies, and mild maritime air keeping overnight temperatures from dropping further.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Weather Underground and regional models, indicate the low will occur in the pre-dawn hours near 15–16°C, consistent with current surface observations around 17–20°C during the day and no incoming cold front. This aligns with the 97% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C. Realistic challenges include minor station-specific variations from official South African Weather Service measurements or localized cooling if cloud cover breaks earlier than expected, though the overall pattern shows limited downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$788Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus supports a 15°C minimum in Cape Town on September 12, 2026, driven by stable southeasterly winds, overcast skies, and mild maritime air keeping overnight temperatures from dropping further.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Weather Underground and regional models, indicate the low will occur in the pre-dawn hours near 15–16°C, consistent with current surface observations around 17–20°C during the day and no incoming cold front. This aligns with the 97% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C. Realistic challenges include minor station-specific variations from official South African Weather Service measurements or localized cooling if cloud cover breaks earlier than expected, though the overall pattern shows limited downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$788Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus supports a 15°C minimum in Cape Town on September 12, 2026, driven by stable southeasterly winds, overcast skies, and mild maritime air keeping overnight temperatures from dropping further.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Weather Underground and regional models, indicate the low will occur in the pre-dawn hours near 15–16°C, consistent with current surface observations around 17–20°C during the day and no incoming cold front. This aligns with the 97% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C. Realistic challenges include minor station-specific variations from official South African Weather Service measurements or localized cooling if cloud cover breaks earlier than expected, though the overall pattern shows limited downside risk.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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