Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing rain and northerly flow to Chengdu on September 15, with expected daily minima clustered near 18–19°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the precise low, as small shifts in timing of precipitation, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with nearly even odds on sub-14°C versus 24°C+ extremes highlighting divergence among ensemble members on whether stronger cold advection or persistent warm advection will dominate. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 15 settembre?
24°C o superiore 97%
15°C 36%
18°C 21%
19°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
1%
15°C
36%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
19%
22°C
9%
23°C
17%
24°C o superiore
97%
24°C o superiore 97%
15°C 36%
18°C 21%
19°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
1%
15°C
$16 Vol.
36%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$10 Vol.
17%
24°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing rain and northerly flow to Chengdu on September 15, with expected daily minima clustered near 18–19°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the precise low, as small shifts in timing of precipitation, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with nearly even odds on sub-14°C versus 24°C+ extremes highlighting divergence among ensemble members on whether stronger cold advection or persistent warm advection will dominate. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$46Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing rain and northerly flow to Chengdu on September 15, with expected daily minima clustered near 18–19°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the precise low, as small shifts in timing of precipitation, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with nearly even odds on sub-14°C versus 24°C+ extremes highlighting divergence among ensemble members on whether stronger cold advection or persistent warm advection will dominate. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing rain and northerly flow to Chengdu on September 15, with expected daily minima clustered near 18–19°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the precise low, as small shifts in timing of precipitation, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with nearly even odds on sub-14°C versus 24°C+ extremes highlighting divergence among ensemble members on whether stronger cold advection or persistent warm advection will dominate. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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