Recent forecasts for Chongqing on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 25–28°C amid persistent summer heat, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered thunderstorms, aligning with historical August averages of 25–26°C. Trader consensus around 27–29°C or higher reflects model agreement on limited radiative cooling under cloudy, moist conditions, where cloud cover traps longwave radiation and urban heat island effects from the city's dense infrastructure sustain warmth. Differentiating lower outcomes like 24–25°C would require clearer skies or stronger winds for enhanced nocturnal cooling, while probabilities below 23°C remain low absent a rare cold surge. Updated China Meteorological Administration model runs and local observations through August 23 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 24 agosto?
19°C or below 79%
29°C or higher 44%
27°C 44%
25°C 43%
19°C or below
79%
20°C
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C
22%
24°C
41%
25°C
43%
26°C
27%
27°C
44%
28°C
43%
29°C or higher
44%
19°C or below 79%
29°C or higher 44%
27°C 44%
25°C 43%
19°C or below
79%
20°C
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C
22%
24°C
41%
25°C
43%
26°C
27%
27°C
44%
28°C
43%
29°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 25–28°C amid persistent summer heat, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered thunderstorms, aligning with historical August averages of 25–26°C. Trader consensus around 27–29°C or higher reflects model agreement on limited radiative cooling under cloudy, moist conditions, where cloud cover traps longwave radiation and urban heat island effects from the city's dense infrastructure sustain warmth. Differentiating lower outcomes like 24–25°C would require clearer skies or stronger winds for enhanced nocturnal cooling, while probabilities below 23°C remain low absent a rare cold surge. Updated China Meteorological Administration model runs and local observations through August 23 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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