Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show Chongqing experiencing light rain and extensive cloud cover on September 19, with expected overnight lows near 20–23°C due to reduced radiative cooling under humid, overcast conditions. The onset of the Huaxi autumn rain period around mid-September has introduced persistent moisture and moderating southerly flows, aligning with seasonal norms where September lows average 21–22°C amid declining solar insolation. Model consensus supports limited overnight drops, as thunderstorm activity and high humidity (often above 85%) suppress temperature extremes. Trader positioning at 76.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects this data-driven assessment of current atmospheric stability, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler thresholds pending any late cold-air intrusions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 19 settembre?
20°C 99.5%
18°C 20%
17°C o inferiore 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$1,307 Vol.
$1,307 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sì
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o superiore
No
20°C 99.5%
18°C 20%
17°C o inferiore 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$1,307 Vol.
$1,307 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sì
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show Chongqing experiencing light rain and extensive cloud cover on September 19, with expected overnight lows near 20–23°C due to reduced radiative cooling under humid, overcast conditions. The onset of the Huaxi autumn rain period around mid-September has introduced persistent moisture and moderating southerly flows, aligning with seasonal norms where September lows average 21–22°C amid declining solar insolation. Model consensus supports limited overnight drops, as thunderstorm activity and high humidity (often above 85%) suppress temperature extremes. Trader positioning at 76.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects this data-driven assessment of current atmospheric stability, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler thresholds pending any late cold-air intrusions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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