Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity across Chongqing are anchoring the overnight low near 21°C, consistent with multiple forecast models showing minimum temperatures of 21–22°C under mostly overcast skies with dew points close to actual air temperatures. This stable, moist boundary layer limits radiative cooling, aligning with the market’s strong 83.5% implied probability for a 21°C low while keeping probabilities for 18–20°C in the 20–46% range. Historical September averages for the city hover around 22°C lows, and current conditions show no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky window that would push readings lower before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will determine whether any brief clearing alters the final minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 21 settembre?
21°C 97%
18°C 84%
19°C 81%
16°C o inferiore 79%
16°C o inferiore
79%
17°C
78%
18°C
84%
19°C
81%
20°C
15%
21°C
84%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 97%
18°C 84%
19°C 81%
16°C o inferiore 79%
16°C o inferiore
79%
17°C
78%
18°C
84%
19°C
81%
20°C
15%
21°C
84%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity across Chongqing are anchoring the overnight low near 21°C, consistent with multiple forecast models showing minimum temperatures of 21–22°C under mostly overcast skies with dew points close to actual air temperatures. This stable, moist boundary layer limits radiative cooling, aligning with the market’s strong 83.5% implied probability for a 21°C low while keeping probabilities for 18–20°C in the 20–46% range. Historical September averages for the city hover around 22°C lows, and current conditions show no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky window that would push readings lower before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will determine whether any brief clearing alters the final minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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