Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 22 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 22 giugno?
28°C 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,749 Vol.
$43,749 Vol.
22 giu 2026
23°C o inferiore
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Sì
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o superiore
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,749 Vol.
$43,749 Vol.
22 giu 2026
23°C o inferiore
$1,425 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,315 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,380 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,543 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,734 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,614 Vol.
Sì
29°C
$7,281 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,980 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,034 Vol.
No
32°C
$754 Vol.
No
33°C o superiore
$689 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,749Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,749Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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