Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 26?
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$53,052 Vol.
$53,052 Vol.
26 mag 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$53,052 Vol.
$53,052 Vol.
26 mag 2026
20°C or below
$897 Vol.
No
21°C
$947 Vol.
No
22°C
$964 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,115 Vol.
No
24°C
$905 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,257 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,907 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,818 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,560 Vol.
No
29°C
$15,760 Vol.
Yes
30°C or higher
$4,920 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$53,052Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,052Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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